Bill Evans

Weekend Economist: Fed flounder?

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Despite volatility we expect the Fed to hike in September. Even if it blinks, don't expect the RBA's trajectory to change.

Weekend Economist: Fed's September issue

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The Federal Reserve hasn't initiated a tightening cycle since June 2004. History shows how long this phase might last.

Weekend Economist: Rate predictions split

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Surveys show consumers broadly expect the next RBA move to be up. The market still anticipates a cut.

Weekend Economist: Bumper 2017?

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The Reserve Bank's forecasts for 2017 place a lot of faith in the rebound in consumer spending and non-mining investment.

Weekend Economist: The RBA's holding pattern

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The RBA may deliver dovish signals on growth and inflation next week, but don't bet on a rate cut anytime soon.

Weekend Economist: Stevens' surprise

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RBA governor Glenn Stevens has made a shock admission on growth that could ensure rates remain on hold despite a weaker outlook.

Weekend Economist: No case for a cut

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Sentiment may be in the doldrums as consumers fret about Europe and housing, but there's still no strong argument for a rate cut anytime soon.

Weekend Economist: Stevens steady

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While rates are probably on hold for some time, the RBA governor is making it quite clear 2 per cent is not a floor of any kind.

Weekend Economist: Eurotrip trepidation

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The increase in European government bond rates hasn't done an already concerned international market any good.

Weekend Economist: A clear cut pause

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The RBA appears intent to hold rates until data compels it to cut. There's good reason to wait and see, but early signs are a little worrying.

Weekend Economist: The RBA's waiting game

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A sinking dollar may allow the RBA to sit on rates for the rest of 2015, but if household expenditure falters, the bank's response could surprise.

Weekend Economist: A healthy dose of confidence

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The budget is often a dampener on consumer confidence but not so this year, as a rare sentiment surge delivers hope for a growth boost.

Weekend Economist: Short-circuiting the dollar's surge

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The local currency has been on a tear of late but with downside risks from commodities, the Fed and the RBA, don't expect US80c to last long.

Weekend Economist: The RBA's inflation revelation

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An unexpected revision to the central bank's inflation outlook delivers flexibility for further rate cuts - just don't expect any more this year.

Weekend Economist: Count on a cut

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The RBA's recent rhetoric has definitively pointed to a rate cut in May - and not moving could damage the bank's credibility.

Weekend Economist: More than maybe in May

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If the RBA keeps rates on hold, then cuts growth forecasts as few days later, as we expect, it'll be bizarre.

Weekend Economist: The case for rate relief

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Jobs numbers were strong, but a slump in consumer sentiment and a considerable decline in the iron ore price strengthen the case for a rate cut in May.

Weekend Economist: The inevitability of lower rates

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The RBA may have held rates unexpectedly in April, but all signs still point to a May cut as trend growth remains at risk.

Weekend Economist: Clear 'cut' case

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The Reserve Bank is on track to lower the cash rate by 25 basis points next week and adopt a soft easing bias.

Weekend Economist: Views from the Fed

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A key Federal Open Markets Committee voter outlines a credible case for an aggressive US monetary policy stance.

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