Bill Evans

Weekend Economist: Count on a cut

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The RBA's recent rhetoric has definitively pointed to a rate cut in May - and not moving could damage the bank's credibility.

Weekend Economist: More than maybe in May

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If the RBA keeps rates on hold, then cuts growth forecasts as few days later, as we expect, it'll be bizarre.

Weekend Economist: The case for rate relief

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Jobs numbers were strong, but a slump in consumer sentiment and a considerable decline in the iron ore price strengthen the case for a rate cut in May.

Weekend Economist: The inevitability of lower rates

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The RBA may have held rates unexpectedly in April, but all signs still point to a May cut as trend growth remains at risk.

Weekend Economist: Clear 'cut' case

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The Reserve Bank is on track to lower the cash rate by 25 basis points next week and adopt a soft easing bias.

Weekend Economist: Views from the Fed

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A key Federal Open Markets Committee voter outlines a credible case for an aggressive US monetary policy stance.

Weekend Economist: RBA's great tell

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The central bank mightn't have hiked rates this time, but history says that last line is a dead giveaway.

Weekend Economist: Why wait on rates?

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Arguments that the Reserve Bank will 'wait and see' before cutting interest rates again overlook how central banks view monetary policy.

Weekend Economist: Bet on bias

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Consumer confidence might be improving, but that can fade post-rate cut. Expect an easing bias from the RBA.

Weekend Economist: Lower to go

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The RBA still expects below-trend growth despite this week's cut. Expect it to move again at the next opportunity.

Weekend Economist: Crude figures

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The oil price the RBA based its last set of inflation expectations is long gone. An update will provide more room to cut rates.

Weekend Economist: Oil stain

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The upcoming inflation figures will give us a much clearer picture on how plunging energy prices could influence the RBA's thinking.

Weekend Economist: Down, then Up!

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Weakness domestically early in 2015, strength internationally in 2016; when it comes to rates, the market is underestimating these two themes.

Weekend Economist: Two-way bet?

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It's curious the Governor has increased the barrier for a rate cut, while arguing for a lower Australian dollar as well.

Weekend Economist: Basis to cut

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The Reserve Bank has always stressed more rate cuts could come if necessary. If things keep going as they are now, we'll be there by February.

Weekend Economist: Credit comeback

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Recent data provide new hope that growth momentum will shift from mining towards non-mining investment and consumer spending.

Weekend Economist: Safe as houses

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Despite what the Reserve Bank seems to think, there is very little danger of investor activity throwing Australia’s property markets off balance.

Weekend Economist: Pessimism pervades

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Recent surveys highlight lasting fears about the Australian economy, although leading indicators point to a turnaround.

Weekend Economist: Fragile China

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Despite the fact that there has been little change in the RBA’s forecasts there are some interesting comments on the Chinese housing market.

Weekend Economist: Rates wait

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Unlike other November meetings, this Melbourne Cup day there is no chance the Reserve Bank will move interest rates.

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