John Lee

Business is missing the big picture in Hong Kong

7 comments
Pro-democracy protests have been criticised by Hong Kong's business groups, but the consequences of pro-mainland governance will be much more profound.

How authoritarian states 'win' internationally

1 comment
The kind of athletes North Korea and China sent to the recently concluded Asian Games are simply not found in the west.

Bar set low for a ‘do no harm’ China-Australia FTA

3 comments
An FTA between the two countries is as much about diplomacy as it is about economics.

The four groups that fooled the world on the Chinese 'economic miracle'

12 comments
Less than a decade ago, China sceptics were labelled crackpots and curiosities. As the China slowdown continues, it's time to look back to see who exactly was spreading the hype.

Why Australia's relationship with Japan infuriates China

9 comments
Beijing is demonising Japan for strategic reasons, but the Abbott government refuses to play ball.

A reality check will ground China's sky-high ambitions

2 comments
Despite pouring billions into the commercial airplane market, China will struggle match its high-tech, private sector multinational rivals.

The middle-income trap will haunt China

1 comment
Several East Asian nations have surpassed the middle-income barrier, but China's weak institutions and reliance on fixed investment mean that slower growth is a structural inevitability.

China needs a new way to manufacture export growth

Technologies such as 3D printing are disrupting the East Asian model of export manufacturing, which uses low-cost labour as its competitive advantage. China will have to rethink its strategy... or risk being left behind.

Don't believe the hype about the renminbi

1 comment
The renminbi may be a rising force in global transactions, but without profound economic reform in China the talk of its rapid internationalisation has no currency.

The truth about China's lies and statistics

5 comments
China's growth figures are notoriously unreliable and, as its economy slows, inaccuracies become even more important. All signs point to China becoming a normal economy... with abnormally large problems.

Why China must tolerate democracy in its midst

3 comments
A Chinese white paper on Hong Kong's political autonomy has raised the hackles of democracy activists, but a softer touch is required if Beijing wants to avoid any diplomatic and reputational fallout.

How Japan spoiled China's power play

8 comments
Japan's renewed geopolitical confidence has thrown a spanner in China's strategy blueprint, all but dashing Beijing's hopes for total dominance over maritime Asia.

It's time to talk tough on the rough China seas

4 comments
Australia’s passivity toward disputes in East Asia is largely explained by the fact that we seem to have no skin in the game. But doing nothing is becoming less and less of an option.

Bears are circling bulls in the China shop

1 comment
China bears will likely be waiting for the nation’s ‘Lehman moment’ for some time, but that doesn't mean there aren't deep problems brewing.

Why China fears the Putin precedent

3 comments
Beijing is wary of Russia's Ukraine actions and probably just as confused about how to respond as America and Western Europe - but for very different reasons.

Hard words won't shatter China-Australia relations

1 comment
The Abbott government's forthright approach to diplomatic relations with Beijing may have ruffled some feathers, but it won't preclude a strong economic relationship between the two nations.

Geopolitics lurk amid the MH370 tragedy

5 comments
The search for debris from the ill-fated MH370 plane has united foreign powers in a rare moment of cooperation, but there's more at stake for China than any other country.

There are few reforms in China's great aspirations

1 comment
China is in need of market-based reforms, but a genuinely competitive economy will only be achieved if the dominance of its state-owned enterprises is wound back.

A Singapore sling is inadequate for unwieldy China

3 comments
China is keen to emulate Singapore's success, but its lack of outstanding leadership, solid institutions and a strong rule of law set it apart from the prosperous city-state.

Capital flight is China's house of cards

3 comments
China's ultra-rich are pouring money into Australia's property market, but the scale of their capital flight has deleterious consequences for the Chinese financial system.

Pages