Global Financial Crisis

Grexit remains 30% chance: Credit Suisse

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Investment bank says Grexit remains possibility, with one in three chance of financial crisis.

German trade surplus hits all-time high

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May data shows rising foreign demand led to highest surplus since records began.

The Aussie dollar is in for a wild ride

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Greece is broken and the euro is facing its biggest crisis yet. Prepare for significant market volatility for the Australian dollar this week.

Navigating Greece and market volatility

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With uncertainty over Greece increasing volatility in the local sharemarket, the routs could present a buying opportunity.

How long will the asset price boom last?

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After six years of low rates and a dizzying search for yield, it's important to consider how long the party will keep going.

Global inflation low despite stimulus

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OECD data shows inflation across the G20 rose to 0.6 per cent in May.

Will Australia repeat Japan's lost decade?

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Without productivity growth the highly-leveraged advanced economies could find themselves going down Japan's path.

The IMF belatedly rethinks austerity

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A new paper reveals that the widespread and indiscriminate shift to budget tightening in the wake of the financial crisis resulted in a feeble recovery.

UK hones Greek contingency plans

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Cameron's government expected to address consular issues concerning British citizens.

Greece should re-engage or face exit: France

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Italy sees no economic risks; says Portugal, Spain, Ireland and Slovenia particularly closed on Greece.

If Greece defaults, dominoes will not fall

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A possible 'Grexit' would be more likely to lower rather than raise the political incentives for other European governments to follow.

Scoreboard: Greek gridlock

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Markets on both sides of the Atlantic fell as hopes fade for a last-minute deal between Greece and its creditors, while oil slipped and gold regained some of its shine.

Will the bond market start the next financial crisis?

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The violent bond market rout rivals the ‘taper tantrum’ of 2013 and could become the trigger for a broader market correction.

The death knell of the market economy

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From the 1980s there was a general view that the market economy was the way to success and prosperity. The global financial crisis changed that game.

P2P lenders need to be tested by a recession

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Innovative and disruptive financial intermediaries won’t be trusted until they’ve had a chance to prove their mettle during an economic downturn.

The economics of wealth and sadness

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Lord Adair Turner rejects two of the most fundamental assumptions underpinning the modern economy. You should too.

The regulatory cure is overkill for the patient

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Fines worth hundreds of billions that have been paid out by banks don't automatically improve things for the intended beneficiary, the investor.

Rumours and runs in opaque markets: Evidence from the Panic of 1907

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The story of the run-up to the global financial crisis is not a new one. Regulators would do well to read up on the 'Panic of 1907'.

How the GFC took the wind out of global trade’s sails

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The GFC has resulted in weak global trade growth, but it will likely gather pace as major economies begin to invest and global GDP growth rates start to pick up.

Spain lifts 2015 growth target

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PM Rajoy flags target of 2.9 per cent growth for the year.

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