Interest Rates

One year of grace for housing

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An onslaught of new supply is set to hit the market at the same time as the interest rate cycle begins to turn.

Big four still most profitable: BIS

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Major Aust banks seen as leaders in developed world as questions raised over low rates.

Near-zero rates may become 'chronic'

by AP
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BIS warns historically low rates are a major long-term risk, booms and busts more likely.

China central bank cuts rates

by AFP
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PBoC to again reduce interest rates by 25 basis points, its fourth move since November.

House prices rise as Sydney surges

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ABS data shows capital city prices gain 1.6% in March qtr; Sydney increases 13.1% in year.

Why Australia may need a recession

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It's time we endured a little short-term pain to ensure long-term economic gains.

Why the Fed could hike twice this year

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With the expectation of a Fed rate rise in September now almost accepted wisdom, the timing of the second rate hike has suddenly become the far more interesting question.

The markets aren't listening to the Fed

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Instead of obsessing over when interest rates will start to rise, investors should consider how much they will rise over the cycle.

Fed members eye 2015 rate hike

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US central bank keeps rates on hold, hints at 2015 move despite cut to growth forecasts.

PIMCO warns on asset bubble risks

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Bond fund giant says Aust households being ‘irrationally exuberant’ in borrowing: report.

Low rates are getting the job done

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Critics argue that low interest rates haven't worked because growth remains weak, but it's important to consider the impact on the economy if the RBA hadn't cut.

Talk of the dollar's demise is premature

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It's expected that once the Fed hikes rates, the Aussie dollar will trend lower. But so far the market appears unwilling to take the local unit much below US76c.

Policy blunders will put a brake on commercial lending

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Flawed policy settings that reward speculation over productive investment will likely lead to a slowdown in commercial lending activity this year.

Global markets signal a new wave of optimism

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The global bond market is signalling better economic times ahead, and Australia stands to be one of the main beneficiaries.

A way out of the boom-bust cycle?

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QIC says one simple proposal would return the economy to above-trend growth and reduce risks of a housing bust, but the RBA has its doubts.

The RBA can't do all the heavy lifting

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With rates so low, monetary policy is not as effective as it once was. We are fast approaching the point where fiscal policy needs to support growth.

Weekend Economist: A clear cut pause

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The RBA appears intent to hold rates until data compels it to cut. There's good reason to wait and see, but early signs are a little worrying.

Clowns, Joe? It's a circus out there

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There's a huge disparity between what's going on out in the real world and what statisticians and a handful of economists say should be happening.

If Sydney's in a bubble, brace for a bang

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Investors in Sydney's overheated housing market are ignoring bubble warning signs at their peril.

RBA holds cash rate steady

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Reserve Bank board leaves rate unchanged at record low 2%, in line with expectations.

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