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WEEKEND ECONOMIST: Ripe for a rate cut

COMMENTARY:Despite some improvement in market conditions, bank funding issues and a slowing global economy leave ample room for the RBA to cut rates again next week.
3 Feb 2012 6:07 PM

WEEKEND ECONOMIST: Full-scale fiscal union

COMMENTARY:For Europe's currency union to survive, the region must achieve fiscal union as well, but the process will be slow and require significant sacrifices by Germany and the 'peripherals'.
27 Jan 2012 6:08 PM

WEEKEND ECONOMIST: Cuts to keep coming

COMMENTARY:Consumer sentiment remains pessimistic despite the November and December rate cuts, the high probability of more easing to come and further bright news on the housing front.
20 Jan 2012 5:48 PM

WEEKEND ECONOMIST: Global growth groans

COMMENTARY:Westpac has lowered its global growth forecast for 2012, predicting slowdowns in China, India and Europe. However, some key positives are lining up to set Australia apart.
16 Dec 2011 5:36 PM

WEEKEND ECONOMIST: Labouring for a rate cut

COMMENTARY:With the recent release of soft Australian labour data, an expected total 100bps of rate cuts by the RBA would see more even economic growth and a boost to the labour market in 2012.
9 Dec 2011 6:07 PM

WEEKEND ECONOMIST: A fine RBA balance

COMMENTARY:The Reserve Bank has a tough decision to make next week as it weighs up developments in Europe against a broadly neutral policy stance, but it looks like there could be another rate cut.
2 Dec 2011 5:58 PM

WEEKEND ECONOMIST: GDP growing pains

COMMENTARY:A very weak Chinese manufacturing PMI is expected to hit the country's short-term GDP profile, while in Australia construction activity should push up national accounts in the third quarter – but not for long.
25 Nov 2011 5:38 PM

WEEKEND ECONOMIST: Swan's rates exception

COMMENTARY:The government is set to release GDP and revenue downgrades in the MYEFO, and while fiscal policy is rarely a monetary driver, this time may be an exception – leaving the door open for several further rate cuts.
18 Nov 2011 5:44 PM

WEEKEND ECONOMIST: A sentimental cut

COMMENTARY:A series of consumer surveys show a strong response to the RBA's rate cut, including a strengthening of sentiment, though indicators suggest the cash rate has further yet to fall.
11 Nov 2011 5:38 PM

WEEKEND ECONOMIST: Rate cut reasoning

COMMENTARY:The Reserve Bank's most recent statement recognises that the non-mining sector will stay below trend, and provided its overly upbeat economic growth forecasts fall short there will be a strong case for further rate cuts.
4 Nov 2011 6:07 PM

WEEKEND ECONOMIST: Racing to a rate cut

COMMENTARY:With the Reserve Bank board's November meeting coming up on Melbourne Cup Day, the recently improved inflation outlook should see the bank cut the official cash rate, but, contrary to market pricing, a second cut in December is unlikely.
28 Oct 2011 6:07 PM

WEEKEND ECONOMIST: Room for a rate cut

COMMENTARY:With the minutes from the RBA board's October meeting showing a substantially improved inflation outlook, a rate cut could be on the cards as early as November 1.
21 Oct 2011 6:07 PM

THE WEEKEND ECONOMIST: Rate cut roundabout

COMMENTARY:Despite a recent rally by the $A and equity markets, as well as some relatively encouraging domestic data, the case for the RBA to cut rates is still strong.
14 Oct 2011 6:06 PM

WEEKEND ECONOMIST: Relative ease

COMMENTARY:The Reserve Bank has now adopted an easing bias, despite leaving rates unchanged, and a comparison with drivers three years ago shows why.
7 Oct 2011 6:36 PM

WEEKEND ECONOMIST: Rates rewind

COMMENTARY:The Reserve Banks looks likely to hold rates again next week, but a full comparison with conditions in August 2008 paints a compelling portrait for a reduction and a swift change of heart.
30 Sep 2011 5:43 PM

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